A New Middle East War could involve the three superpowers, the US, China and Russia, counting as necessary collaborations with regional powers such as Israel and Iran. This may lead to the restoration of the Balfour Declaration and another Cold War between the US and Russia
By Germán Gorraiz López, Geopolitical Analyst
The foundations of the greater Near East were laid in the Quincey Pact (1945) following the doctrine of the 1916 Sykes-Picot Franco-British Accords that favoured the regional division of power into zones of influence and supported by the US-Egypt-Saudi tripod.
This doctrine consisted in the endemic survival in Egypt of pro-Western autocratic military governments, which ensured the survival of the State of Israel (1948) and provided the US Navy with privileged access to the Suez Canal, a crucial shortcut for direct access to the Arab Emirates, Iraq and Afghanistan, remaining a firm bastion of US geopolitical interests. in the area, especially after the fall of the Shah of Persia in 1980.
The other pillar of the agreement was US-privileged access to oil from Saudi Arabia in exchange for preserving its autocratic regime and promoting the spread of Wahhabism. Mohamed Abdel Wahab founded the doctrine in the mid-18th century with the aim of becoming an attractive vision of Islam and exportable to the rest of Arab countries, with which the Saudi theocracy became a regional power providing the US.
This was the key to energy control while serving as a retaining wall for socialist and pan-Arabist currents.
Finally, after the Six Day War (1967), the geostrategic puzzle of the Middle East was completed with the establishment of autocratic and pro-Western regimes in the countries surrounding Israel ( Libya, Syria, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Iran) and the Palestinians remain confined in the ghettos of the West Bank and Gaza.
Are the US and Israel looking to redesign the cartography of the Middle East?
Taking advantage of the alleged security holes in the Israeli Defense caused by the schism between the reservists and Netanyahu, the armed wing of the Islamist group Hamas launched the largest military offensive since 2007.
It was possible because of the infiltration of tens of its members into Israeli localities and the launching of thousands of projectiles into large areas, including Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.
The offensive extends to the Lebanese and Syrian border with the entry on stage of Hezbollah and members of the Fatemiyoun Brigade, a Shiite militia with organic dependence on the elite of the Iranian Armed Forces or Pasdars.
Thus, after the fiascos of Syria, Libya and Iraq, the offensive of Hamas would be the new bait of the Machiavellian plan outlined by the Anglo-American alliance in 1960 to attract both Russia and China and provoke a major regional conflict that would mark the evolution of the area in the coming years.
That would be a new local episode that would be framed in return to the recurring endemism of the Cold War between the US and Russia.
”Operation Persia” and the New Middle East War
Taking advantage of the fact that Russia is occupied with Ukraine, China is surrounded by the AUKUS nuclear crisis arc to protect Taiwan, and that US strategic reserves are at their highest, the Pentagon would have designed ”Operation Persia”.
After being accused of being the instigator of the Hamas attack, The US used an initial surprise attack by Israel on Iran to start a new war in the Middle East with the dual objective of drying up China’s energy sources and climbing its popularity index to be re-elected in the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
A New Middle East War could involve the three superpowers, the US, China and Russia, counting as necessary collaborations with regional powers Israel, Syria, Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Iran.
It would cover the geographical space that extends from the Mediterranean arc (Israel, Syria and Lebanon) to Yemen and Somalia with the avowed aim of designing the cartography of the New Middle East favourable to the geopolitical interests of the US, Britain and Israel with the implementation of Great Israel (”Eretz Israel”).
This would entail the restoration of the Balfour Declaration (1,917), which drew the State of Israel with a vast extension of about 46,000 square miles and extending from the Mediterranean east of the Euphrates to Syria, Lebanon, north-eastern Iraq, the northern part of Saudi Arabia, the coastal strip of the Red Sea and the Sinai Peninsula in Egypt and Jordan
The new land would be renamed Palesjordán after being forced to host the entire Palestinian population of the current West Bank and Gaza, forced into a massive diaspora (new nakba).
By Germán Gorraiz López, Geopolitical Analyst. Read more by Gorraiz López