Emmanuel Todd predicted the fall of the Soviet Union. He was right. Now he is predicting the fall of the West or the fall of its throne. However, the Western failure is not only military and geopolitical, he says, but also has social, economic, and moral dimensions.
”A war has begun. The outcome of this war will decide the fate of Europe.
If Russia were to be defeated in Ukraine, European subservience to the Americans will be prolonged for a century.
If, as I believe, the United States is defeated, NATO will disintegrate and Europe will be set free.
Even more important than a Russian victory will be the halt of the Russian army at the Dnieper, and Putin’s regime’s unwillingness to militarily attack Western Europe.
With 144 million people, a declining population, and 17 million square kilometers, the Russian state is already struggling to occupy its own territory.
Russia will neither have the means nor the desire to expand once the pre-communist borders of Russia are restored.
Western Russophobic hysteria, fantasizing about Russia’s desire to expand into Europe, is simply ridiculous to any serious historian.
The psychological shock awaiting Europeans will be the realization that NATO does not exist to protect us, but to control us.”
Emmanuel Todd
Todd wrote the book ”La Défaite de l’Occident”, 2024