The Peace Deal: The Cheapest Shot in the Gulf War — Summary

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publicerad Idag 17:37
- av Torbjörn Sassersson
US Air Force troops hoppar från en CH-53 Sea Stallion-helikopter under träning i Djibouti. Pressfoto: Laurel Johansen (US Navy handout).
US Air Force troops | Photo: Laurel Johansen (US Navy handout)

Here is the gist of the 14-point plan for peace between the US and Iran.

  1. Permanent ceasefire
  2. Respect sovereignty
  3. Reach a final deal in 60 days
  4. Lift the naval blockade
  5. Reopen the Strait of Hormuz
  6. Fund Iran’s reconstruction
  7. End sanctions
  8. Prevent nuclear weapons development
  9. Maintain the status quo during talks
  10. Allow Iranian oil exports
  11. Release frozen Iranian assets
  12. Establish compliance monitoring
  13. Implement key confidence-building measures first
    • Ceasefire (#1)
    • Lift the naval blockade (#4)
    • Reopen the Strait of Hormuz (#5)
    • Allow Iranian oil exports (#10)
    • Release Iran’s frozen assets (#11)
  14. Obtain UN Security Council endorsement

Paragraph 13 depends primarily on the US and Iran — giving Israel and Hezbollah fewer levers to upset the process.

It is still not confirmed what prompted the US and Iran to so quickly come to an agreement, especially one so generous toward Iran: oil exports, asset releases, sanctions relief, reconstruction funding.

Why now?

The week leading up to the deal there were several cycles of military action–reaction.

  • Iran shot down a US Apache helicopter using a one-way attack drone.
  • Trump ordered new US strikes inside Iran on June 9–10 in response.
  • Iran launched retaliatory attacks beyond Iran itself, against US partners in the Gulf region.
  • Reports of Iran planning a large missile strike on Israel, but which was cancelled.

The cost of one Apache helicopter, used to enforce the naval blockade, is about 40 million US dollars. The cost for the Shaheed drone that knocked it out is estimated to be some 35,000 US dollars.

 

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