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Africa’s Perspective on Russia and the War in Ukraine

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ANALYSIS. For more than half a century, Africa has always been coveted by the Western powers to make it their own hegemony site. During the Second World War in 1945 and the Cold War period, the African people fought alongside the Allied forces to defeat Adolf Hitler’s dictatorial regime in Germany.

By Lilian Neg, Africa Correspondent for NewsVoice | Lire l’article en français

This situation, well known by The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), was their Leitmotiv to occupy a prominent place in Africa a few decades later, even though the Soviet Union had not taken any interest in colonization.

Africa then presented herself as the focal and strategic point of attraction. But what could be the reason? To understand the relevance of the analyses based on the recent Russo-Ukrainian war, four major points will hold our attention.

History

After the period of decolonization in Africa, the Soviet Union quickly understood that the fact she had not taken an interest in colonization was a great handicap in view of the offensive policy she wanted to lead against the Western powers.

That is why, to remedy this, USSR decided to join with the underprivileged peoples to fight against colonization.

This is the case in South Africa where she supported the ANC movement, the South African Communist Party (SACP), the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), the Mozambican Liberation Front (FRELIMO), and finally the Zimbabwe African People’s Union (ZAPU).

In 1960, at the initiative of the USSR, The General Assembly of the United Nations adopted the declaration on granting independence to colonized countries and peoples despite the opposition of some major Western states.

In addition to that, a large number of African leaders benefited personally from the support and training offered by the USSR, not to mention the thousands of experts trained by the Soviet advisers. Many agreements signed during this period included 37 technical and economic assistance pacts and 42 trade agreements.

After the dismantlement of the USSR, Russia inherited the gains of this union and it was in this context that she continued the initiatives of the former Soviet Socialist Republic by maintaining the cooperation agreements.

It was in this spirit that, in 2006, Vladimir Putin visited South Africa and Morocco, while Dimitri Medvedev accompanied 400 businessmen on an official trip to Angola, Namibia, and Nigeria in 2009 to sign economic agreements in the mineral resources and nuclear energy sectors.

These two moves illustrated the establishment of new bilateral relations. Russia then positioned itself as a strategic partner and has been wearing this cap for more than half a century. A position that scares the West and its allies.

Political aspects – Françafrique

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has made it possible to understand the polarization of the world with, on one hand, the States that support the Russian escape from the Ukrainian territories following the discontent caused by the controversial presence of NATO and the monitoring of the Russian speaking territories, and on the other hand, the States that are against any Russian intervention in Ukraine in view of the policy propagated by Vladimir Putin, the so-called policy of reclaiming the territories lost after the dissolution of the USSR.

Russia wants to create a new world order based on bilateral and multilateral cooperation whose interests are diversified, and which directly benefits the contracting parties. This new form of policy is attracting the majority of African countries, which after the Independence were subjected to a system called Françafrique.

“The term [Françafrique] was derived from the expression France-Afrique, which was used by the first president of Ivory Coast, Félix Houphouët-Boigny, in 1955 to describe his country’s close ties with France. It was later renamed Françafrique by François-Xavier Verschave in 1998 to criticize the alleged corrupt and clandestine activities of various Franco-African political, economic and military networks”. – Wikipedia

Most French-speaking countries have not been able to benefit from this neo-colonialistic system specific to France. The African countries submitted, dominated, and cut at the mercy of the West had a desire for emancipation, that is to break with the old system, and create their own money.

The African states jealous of their sovereignty are looking for new partners, and Russia present herself as the ideal. Recently, Mali, the Central African Republic, and Cameroon have signed cooperation agreements with Russia in the defense field. Also, other African countries have concluded agreements in the field of education, health, oil, and energy resources.

Africa’s dependence on the old continent is gradually declining. At this stage of analysis, it is fair to think that the Russian invasion of Ukraine is becoming embarrassing for Western democracies. Africans have understood that there is no need in considering the Western view of democracy because they are in support of most dictatorial regimes in Africa.

The primary consequences have been misery, poverty, and underdevelopment in Africa.

After more than half a century of “independence”, what is Africa’s real place on the global agenda?

The Russo-Ukrainian war also allowed the whole world to understand that there is no freedom of opinion and thought because all political statements coming from the West are based on a kind of support either for Russia or Ukraine.

This so-called policy of alignment has for a long time weakened the African continent which, under the influence of the West, prefers to take ambiguous positions in order to be neutral.

In this light, Africans must only focus on their interests and the balance would weigh on win-win diplomacy, that is why President Volodymir Zelensky’s cries of distress are sounding in vain in Africa because they are concerned about their disastrous economic situation.

Diplomatic and Strategic views

On the diplomatic and strategic level, Yet having no colonies in Africa, Russia has managed to create a fairly powerful alliance with African governments.

It is true that the governance systems are modeled on the Western, but people are beginning to change their position. Africans increasingly demonstrate their interest in Russia and wish to maintain permanent cooperation.

The opening of Russian embassies in almost all African countries is a victory for Russian diplomacy which is on the offensive in Africa.

The recent official trip of French President Emmanuel Macron to Africa from 25 to 27 July 2022 in Cameroon, Benin, and Guinea Bissau and the visit of the Minister of Foreign Affairs Serguei Lavrov and spokesman of the Russian diplomacy in Egypt, Congo, Uganda, and Ethiopia are warning signs that are sufficient to show that Africa is becoming very coveted, the war in Ukraine in this context then is the reversal of a real cold war between two strictly opposite systems, of which Africa is the thermometer.

Once considered as bargaining for Western powers, Africa is today a space of competition between powers, former colonial powers and emerging countries such as China, India, Brazil, and Turkey, all secular arms of Russia in its eternal geopolitical and geostrategic struggle against the Western countries and their allies such as the United States of America.

Russia’s renewed interest in Africa is gaining momentum following the sanctions imposed by the European Union and the United States after its invasion of Crimea and especially the creation of the Asian Euro Economic Union, which is perceived as a blatant intrusion of the European Union and the United States in the heart of former Russian colonies.

As a result, Russia repositioned herself in Africa to respond to the West’s demand for Asia in a flagrant violation of the “YANTAI” agreements.  And also to evade sanctions imposed on her by the European Union. But this redeployment of Russia in Africa will not remain without consequences.

Images: Many Africans are pro Russia
Images: Many Africans are pro Russia

African economies are threatened by the war in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine has been devastating for African economies because, as a result of the cooperation agreements, most factories derive their raw materials from Russia and a small percentage from Ukraine.

The embargo imposed on Russia was the source of this grave situation.

The first consequence was the increase in the price of basic necessities, building materials such as cement, iron, and energy resources coal, gas, and its derived products are not to be neglected.

The situation is becoming more and more catastrophic since it affects consumer goods, and foodstuffs negatively. It is important to know that this war has allowed Africans to see their economic dependence on Russia to the detriment of Western Europe, which they had always considered their first partner.

In addition to that, the local African currencies have lost their value. Concerning countries sharing the franc zone, there is a reason to think about a bypass plan. The scarcity of products is being felt on the market.

Dissatisfied with the situation, the citizens accuse their respective governments of not having been relevant enough in taking a position either in favor or against the war in Ukraine.

For other Africans, the war in Ukraine is entertainment that prevents them from reflecting on their own concerns because according to the latter this war benefits only the great powers, and finally, to the most radical, the war in Ukraine is only a means used by the western democracies to impose an order of alignment on Africans.

Banning Russian products will permit the weaker African countries to turn their backs on Russia and concentrate on Western Europe. This statement is far from being a reality because the majority of countries have maintained their trade agreement despite the visible consequences on the ground.

The invasion of Russia in Ukraine issue remains for Africans a Western affair whose repercussions are considerable in Africa. In view of the above, Africa occupies a geostrategic place, and aware of these stakes, Africa must take advantage in order to better safeguard its interests.

By Lilian Neg, Africa Correspondent for NewsVoice

Lilian Neg
Lilian Neg
Lilian Neg (1979-) is a Cameroonian citizen specialized in geopolitical issues and African politics. She authored: "L'Irak dans le rétroviseur, une autopsie de l'effondrement du régime de Saddam Hussein". She has a Master Degree in International Law and has written for Le Démocrate (chief desk editor) about politics. Lilian has worked with communications and translation and she is since 2009 a Public relations officer of the Cameroonian Footballers' National Union. Read more about Lilian Neg on Vetapedia.

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Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
9 september 2022 kl 19:25

Mitt allmänna intryck av allt info jag sett är att Ryssland faktiskt håller på att kollapsa på alla fronter just nu… det är bara en tidsfråga innan det blir kupp på hemmaplan – det finns en tidslimit för Ryssarna i den här situationen.
Detta kan få otroligt stora konsekvenser geopolitiskt på massa olika sätt – både positiva och negativa. För övrigt anser jag att det hela är ett spel bland spel och att allting ingår i The Great Reset och full Teknokrati.
Men bland alla rörelser och motrörelser kan befolkningarna göra sig gällande också och kommer antagligen göra det också – tror till exempel inte att befolkningarna i Europa kommer ge Globo-regimerna sin lojalitet utan saker kommer att hända i höst och vinter.

Bara några klipp…

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkraineWar2022/comments/x91dxd/st_petersburg_municipal_deputies_of_the/
St. Petersburg municipal deputies of the Smolninskoye district are planning to send an appeal to State Duma in coming days with a proposal to accuse Putin of high treason because of the war in Ukraine. Source – The Insider

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/sep/08/we-have-already-lost-far-right-russian-bloggers-slam-kremlin-over-army-response
‘We have already lost’: far-right Russian bloggers slam military failures | Ukraine | The Guardian

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8elnpK68Tyc
POLITICAL WHEELS TURNING IN RUSSIA | Tic-Tac Tic-Tac – YouTube

https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/x2cp5t/russian_rockets_fired_at_kyiv_could_not_stop_the/
Russian rockets fired at Kyiv could not stop the signing of the Declaration of the Russian Armed Opposition in Irpin today. Anti-Putin & Anti-war resistance groups both inside and outside of Russia will now work together to achieve their ultimate goal of freeing Russia and ending the war.

stig lönnqvist
stig lönnqvist
Gäst
Reply to  Mopping Up
9 september 2022 kl 21:21

Reddit och the Guardians är inte dom rätta att berätta om att ryssland håller på att kollapsa.
Vad är rubelns värde, vad är inflationen jämfört mot det sjunkande skeppet EU. Vad jag förstod av artikeln så menar hon att ryssland aldrig försökt kolonialisera afrika, jämfört mot vad bl a belgien och andra Eu länder gjort.

Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
Reply to  stig lönnqvist
10 september 2022 kl 01:01

Jag förstår vad du säger – håller till exempel med om att The Guardian är en rätt värdelös källa – men – alla källor är värdefulla som en del i att bygga en bild av verkligheten så när det går. Så dessa två länkar kanske är två av tusen länkar jag löpande följer och min bild av dagsläget är just att Ryssland håller på att kollapsa och det finns en tidslimit för Putin och han vet det.
När det gäller EU och Ryssland så håller jag med dig om att även EU är ett sjunkande skepp men det går inte att jämföra med vad Ryssland är om sanktioner och blockad fortsätter – de är körda.
 
Tänk på skillnaderna i BNP och militärbudgetar här mellan Ryssland och världen…. Jag inkluderar även Indien och Kina här för de kommer följa västvärlden i slutändan – för nu så köper de billig olja men fasar ut så sakteliga och BRIC har ingen gemenskap på lojalitet utan det är som Indien sade – det enda intressanta är strategiska partnerskap…
 
Se nedan för lite info om ekonomierna och korruptionen i Ryska militären….
 
https://youtu.be/qGGwO99fQaI
Two Economies at war – Russia and Ukraine after 100 days of sanctions and shelling
 
https://youtu.be/i9i47sgi-V4
How Corruption Destroys Armies – Theft, Graft, and Russian failure in Ukraine
 

Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
Reply to  Mopping Up
10 september 2022 kl 16:20

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hSXoZK6OdI0
Izium has been liberated. Front line has collapsed.

Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
Reply to  Mopping Up
11 september 2022 kl 00:27

[Kommentar raderad. Max 4 utgående länkar och det fanns inte heller en kommentar. Kommentarfältet är till för kommentarer där länkar kan bifogas]

Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
Reply to  Mopping Up
11 september 2022 kl 01:14

Synd att ni raderar… Var rätt intressanta länkar – än mer – jag kommenterade faktiskt under första länken… frånsett att länkar kan vara kommentarer i sig… Synd att ni raderar…

jesslar53
jesslar53
Gäst
Reply to  Mopping Up
10 september 2022 kl 08:53

Ryssland kommer aldrig att kollapsa , se till historien.

Mopping Up
Mopping Up
Gäst
Reply to  jesslar53
10 september 2022 kl 12:32

Ryska revolutionen är väl en kollaps och ingen liten heller.
Sovjet föll av egen kraft
Ryssland och Putin är en tvåstegsraket på Sovjet.
Regimen kommer att falla om inget nytt händer – det är bara fråga om Ryssland kommer finnas kvar inom de nuvarande gränserna eller om landet bryts upp i olika nationsbildningar. En drivande kraft är antagligen ungdomen – de vill ha friheten att ansluta till väst – resa göra affärer – att inte isolera sig – de kräver en effektivare ekonomi och samhällsordning och en uppdaterad regim. De ryska imperiedrömmarna fasar ut och är mindre attraktiva – de unga generationerna vill istället vara ett vanligt land bland andra och ansluta till världen. Rysslands och Kinas regimer har plötsligt blivit gamla – de behöver uppdateras – det finns ingen efterfrågan längre på Stalin – Mao – 1900-tals stilen. Ryssland är första dominon här – allt detta gäller för Kina också – jag anser att det är inte Kina som tar över Taiwan eller Hong-Kong utan det blir tvärtom – deras system kommer snart etablera en ny ordning i Kina. Det är också flera mäktiga krafter som pressar på här för en sådan utveckling. Separationsrörelser finns i Europa också – ser du det historiskt så rör sig gränser hela tiden.
https://youtu.be/rAuE68Intys
WILL RUSSIA FALL LIKE ANCIENT SPARTA DID?
https://youtu.be/5IPzww2IHzM
Yale’s Sonnenfeld breaks down myth of Russia’s economy
https://youtu.be/NC37nAxP8ac
What If Russia Broke Up?
https://youtu.be/UUk-CTomoyc
China…?

Rita Ekholm
Rita Ekholm
Gäst
9 september 2022 kl 13:57

Intressant fakta artikel som borde vara obligatorisk läsning för alla, även för våra ruttna politiker

jesslar53
jesslar53
Gäst
Reply to  Rita Ekholm
10 september 2022 kl 08:50

Hela artikeln är propaganda , sist jag var i Angola så var det mesta styrt med Chineese money. Vad dessa länder behöver är inte pengar utan ett styre som gagnar folket inte multinationella företag.
Sydafrica har då Palme sett till att ANC styr det mesta , det går ej att skylla på kollonianism utan tänk Brittish herravälde så kommer ni närmare sanningen eller City of London,,,,,,

Lilian Neg
Lilian Neg
Lilian Neg (1979-) is a Cameroonian citizen specialized in geopolitical issues and African politics. She authored: "L'Irak dans le rétroviseur, une autopsie de l'effondrement du régime de Saddam Hussein". She has a Master Degree in International Law and has written for Le Démocrate (chief desk editor) about politics. Lilian has worked with communications and translation and she is since 2009 a Public relations officer of the Cameroonian Footballers' National Union. Read more about Lilian Neg on Vetapedia.